Spring surge: Optimism blooms in the housing market

Share

Share

  • Housing market sentiment at a 12-month high
  • Victoria and ACT leading positive market sentiment
  • Real estate agents note rise in first home buyers

Australia’s housing market is shaking off the winter chill and heading into Spring with a renewed sense of confidence, according to the latest data from NAB’s Residential Property Survey.

The NAB Residential Property Index, which measures housing market sentiment*, has risen to +44 in the June quarter, its highest level in a year, driven by recent rate cuts and expectations around further easing.

Positive sentiment was felt across the country, with Victoria seeing the biggest jump from +16 pts to +36 pts, and the ACT turning positive to +30pts after two negative quarters.

Confidence in the housing market also grew in the last quarter, up 11pts to 62pts, the highest in over a year.

NAB Home Lending Executive Denton Pugh said we’re continuing to see green shoots of optimism, just in time for the Spring selling season.

“Spring is traditionally the busiest time of year for property sales, and this year is shaping up to be no exception,” Mr Pugh said.

“With recent rate cuts and confidence returning, we’re seeing more Australians, especially first home buyers, taking steps towards buying a home.

“It’s encouraging to see optimism returning – Victoria and the ACT are standouts when it comes to buyer confidence right now, but we expect other states to follow.”

According to real estate agents and developers surveyed, first home buyers now make up 34% of those interested in purchasing a property – the highest share since 2022. Victoria led the way for first home buyer interest in the June quarter, at 40%, followed by New South Wales at 36.4%**.

“With more homes expected to hit the market and eager buyers returning, Spring is shaping up to be a season of opportunity,” Mr Pugh said.

Notes to Editor:

  • The NAB Residential Property Survey Q2 2025 surveys around 250 property professionals from across Australia including real estate agents, property developers and owners/investors.
  • *Confident and sentiment is based on 12 month expectations of house prices and rents.
  • **Buyers of established houses in main states by %

Property

SEE ALL TOPICS

Media Enquiries

For all media enquiries, please contact the NAB Media Line on 03 7035 5015

Related Articles

  • First home buyers

Thinking about buying your first home this spring?

Australia’s housing market is continuing to move as we head into the busy spring selling season. Here are a few things to think about so you’ll be ready to act fast when you find that dream property.

  • 03.09.2025
  • Time to read 3 min read
  • First home buyers

NAB welcomes expansion of Home Guarantee Scheme

NAB welcomes the expansion of the Federal Government’s Home Guarantee Scheme (HGS), saying it will help thousands more Australians get into their own homes, sooner.

  • 25.08.2025
  • Time to read 1 min read
  • Property

Home buyer window wide open this winter season

Twelve months ago, many buyers were holding back due to higher rates. Fast-forward to today: two rate cuts behind us, and NAB expecting another two this year, many home buyers, especially first-home buyers, see this as a window of opportunity before the market heats up further.

  • 29.07.2025
  • Time to read 2 min read

Quick links

Property Insights

Buying or selling? Get ahead with property value estimates, insights and property reports.